International Journal of Farm Sciences
Open Access
  • Year: 2018
  • Volume: 8
  • Issue: 3

ARIMA modelling to forecast area and production of apple in Himachal Pradesh

College of Forestry, Dr YS Parmar University of Horticulture and Forestry Nauni, Solan, 173230, Himachal Pradesh, India

*Email for correspondence: bhartibhardwaj69@gmail.com

Online published on 11 July, 2018.

Abstract

In the present study an attempt was made to develop the statistical model, ARIMA for the estimation of apple area and production in Himachal Pradesh. ARIMA(0, 1, 0) and ARIMA(1, 1, 5) were the best fitted models for forecasting of apple area and production respectively in the state. The model exhibits good accuracy level for future projection of area and production of apple in Himachal Pradesh.

Keywords

Apple, ARIMA, forecasting, area, production